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Tbilisi won’t have Tskhinval back2010-08-27 17:13
The second anniversary of the day when Dmitry Medvedev signed a decree recognizing South Ossetia's independence from Georgia is being celebrated in Tskhinval. The future of the young republic looks rather complicated but there is one thing in which South Ossetian society is 100% unanimous - no matter what's in store for the country, it will be inseparably connected with Russia.
According to Felix Stanevsky in charge of Caucasus department at the Institute of CIS countries the role of Russia's recognition of South Ossetia's and Abkhazia's independence was not that great in formation of statehood in these republics. According to the expert, on August 26, 2008 Russia simply demonstrated its attitude to the accomplished fact. "The country's statehood does not depend on recognition by foreign countries. This is the country's internal development, building and growth of institutional settings in a territory. History is full of examples of states that existed for a long time without being recognized", - the expert said in an interview with GeorgiaTimes.
Stanevsky also thinks that Abkhazia is more likely to be internationally recognized than South Ossetia. Tskhinval's future, as the analyst says, is almost totally determined in Moscow.
By the way, most often this is Russia's influence on South Ossetia that stirs discussions on the republic's reunification with North Ossetia as part of Russia. Indeed, at first sight, this step seems obvious: large-scale money infusions from the Russian budget plus the fact that almost 100% of the country population have Russian citizenship make South Ossetia's entry into Russia almost a reality. A considerable "landing force" of Russian officials sent to Tskhinval a year ago must have brought political and economic institutions of the two states to unification. By the way, RSO's current PM Vadim Provtsev and his teammates deserve a solid unsatisfactory mark for the job. In black type, with a minus. Also due to them visits of various controllers from Russia have become more regular than the sunrise in the republic; and rumors that Moscow is wasting time supporting South Ossetia are getting louder.
Back to possible annexation of South Ossetia to Russia, such developments seem highly unlikely considering the issue seriously. This step, as strange as it may seem, will play into the hands of Tbilisi. For Mikheil Saakashvili this gift will be sweeter than any dollar tranche from Washington: president of Georgia and his supporters will start a chorus about the terrible Russian bear tearing "Tskhinvali district" from the "prosperous paradise". However, it must be remarked that neither South Ossetia nor Russia has such plans. It is clear to both Moscow and Tskhinval that the republic has gone through too much shock over two decades. Now resumption of South Ossetia's infrastructure restoration is on the agenda while the international status issue is not that important to people who are facing to greet the third winter in tents.