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Saturday, 07 November 2009

Analytics
  • It would be good to obtain the minimum 2009-11-06 10:01
  • Tales about “associated membership” 2009-11-05 15:10
  • Fight for Mayor’s seat 2009-11-03 14:32
  • Chakhalyan remains prisoner for other people’s education 2009-11-03 10:02 The Georgian Court of Appeal upheld the verdict in respect of Javakh activist Vahagn Chakhalyan sentenced for 10 years of imprisonment. The case was thoroughly watched by observer of Coordination Council of Armenian Organizations of France. However, the breaches of human rights were never cured. By all means, Georgia decided to keep the Armenian behind the bars for the education of those who might venture to assert the rights of national minorities.
  • Kids in charge of “devilry” 2009-11-02 16:51 Georgian authorities are trying their best to prove they have nothing to do with the insulting Internet videos against the Catholicos Patriarch that resulted in initiation of a criminal case after massive protest rallies. The investigation revealed the authors of the videos - a school boy and a student. They will be in charge of the anti-church campaign in Georgia.
  • Nogaideli: We need a dialogue with Russia without any preconditions 2009-10-29 23:00 The Georgian oppositional activists have been talking about the necessity of mending relationship with Russia for more than a year already. However, just like the ruling majority representatives, they prefer to pay visits across the waters. Leader of the oppositional Movement for Fair Georgia Zurab Nogaideli was the first one to venture to arrive to the Russian capital after the August events. He answered the questions of the GeorgiaTimes correspondent.
  • What should rebellious Georgians beware? 2009-10-29 16:25 There is just little time left before the 6th anniversary of the Rose Revolution celebrated on November 23 as the birthday of young democracy. However over this time the image of the “beacon of democracy” has considerably decayed. Well, let’s not digress for it turns out there is no national security concept in the country. Sounds somewhat paradoxical but it’s a fact.
  • EU: no punishment and no approval for Georgia 2009-10-27 23:38 The first session of Georgia-EU Association Council was held after publication of Tagliavini’s report. After Mikheil Saakashvili’s attack on Tskhinval was recognized as a violation of international law the attitude to the aggressor country should have been changed. However officially Europe hasn’t condemned Georgia.
Analytics
The Caucasian chalk circle 2008-12-04 10:10 Two recalcitrant nations decided to live independently. The authorities in Tbilisi did not give their consent. But so what? Georgia's economy did not suffer from this in any way, its culture even less so. There are many smouldering conflicts in today's world: Northern Ireland, Cyprus, Karabakh, Kurdistan and the Basque country. So the conflict by the southern spurs of the Caucasus mountains could have smouldered on without bloodshed for at least another twenty years, in practice without affecting anyone's interests, until the optimal way out appeared with time. Abkhazia could have waited, South Ossetia could have waited, Georgia could have waited. Unfortunately, Saakashvili couldn't wait. Whilst fighting to retain his post as president, he promised too much, in particular to see in the upcoming New Year in Sukhumi. He didn't manage to make the upcoming one. The next one turned out to be 2009. The proud politician really didn't want to go down in the history of his beloved homeland as a boastful liar. So he chose the perfect moment, helpfully coinciding with the start of the Beijing Olympics, for his attack on little Tskhinvali...

So what will happen now? How will it all end?

The current situation will probably become permanent. Blood that has been shed is more enduring than a border outlined by politicians. For the time being, only Russia and Nicaragua have recognized the two small countries. A few further states are likely to recognize them in the near future, if only to spite the United States.

But do the small Caucasian countries need mass recognition? They still won't pull in forty embassies, and the slightly sour Abkhazian mandarin that Russians know so well is not likely to oust the sweet Spanish one with a cool label on the side from the European markets. Of course, Psou and Lykhny are very nice wines - but in Greece, Italy, France, Hungary, even Germany, they are more than happy to drink their own wines. There's no space for either Abkhazian or the Ossetian wine in any store in the West.

Just a few years ago the principle of the inviolability of borders helped maintain stability in Europe. The decision by the Western countries to seize Kosovo from Serbia has torn the only clamping ring off the barrel. What one side does can be replicated by another. I'm afraid that a whole series of alarming surprises lie in store for us.

I am an optimist. And I hope that the Caucasian chalk circle won't exist for a lifetime. If the people in power change, then Tbilisi, Moscow, Sukhumi and Tskhinvali will realize that it is more costly for themselves to fight with their neighbours, that a common economic and cultural space is far more important than political ambitions and ethnic grievances. And then the old accounts will lose any meaning. After all, the independence of the green hill called the "state of San Marino" does not stop the Italians from sleeping easily at night, and the French are even proud of the famous casino in the independent principality of Monaco. I think that in the future, people in Tbilisi will begin to regard the sovereignty of the small republics with just as much equanimity as people in Moscow have about the independence of Georgia itself.

Leonid Zhukhovitsky

 

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