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USA throwing off Georgian dead weight?2010-11-11 15:34
The States' weaker positions in South Caucasus and loss of geopolitical interest in Georgia after Barak Obama's advent are getting more noticeable each day as evident to both Russian and Western politologists. Recently Ariel Cohen, a famous US expert for post-Soviet space, expressed his point of view saying that Washington's policy toward Georgia is going through a bad stretch.
"Unfortunately, U.S. policy in the region, which both parties have pursued over the last 20 years during the Clinton and Bush administrations, is in deep crisis", - Cohen says as quoted by Caucasus Online. - For instance, Obama's administration is too attentive to all the complaints of Moscow. Officials of Georgia say that they can't receive elementary defensive weapon from the USA". The politologist also remarks that Washington has important interests in the South Caucasus linked with Iran, energy, transit to Afghanistan, development of democracy.
Indeed, American interests in Caucasus are innumerable. The difference is that whether they are part of Barack Obama's work pad. No doubt, Afghanistan is surely there but for clear reasons the US leader prefers solving this problem not with the help of small Georgia, but in cooperation with a large and reliable player on the world's geopolitical map - with Russia. Besides, speaking about Tbilisi's role in counterterrorist operations organized by American missionaries, the States might invite the republic to join an operation in Iran. As Russian politologists reasonably remark, Georgia is a long way off Afghanistan. Unfortunately (or maybe fortunately) for Georgians, Americans are not in a hurry to enter Iran.
As for Sakartvelo's role as a transport corridor for hydrocarbons from Central Asia bypassing Russia, the situation is not unambiguous here. On one hand the West has been trying to stop depending on Russia for a long time and with little effect. Georgia does appear in mythical Nabucco project aimed at diversified gas supplies. Still, the project looks good only on paper, besides there is nowhere to take the gas from for this "phantom pipe".
In theory the USA could use Georgia as a foothold for pressure on southern regions of the Russian Federation. But, as was mentioned above, Washington just can't spoil relations with Moscow right now. A Russia-NATO summit, the first one after August 2008, is near at hand with anti-missile defense and global security issues on the agenda.
The last thing to do is to launch US democracy into masses. We all remember dear friend George tackling the issue up to a certain time. Practically with no success though. Since democratic values don't mix with the corrupted regime obsessed with territorial hallucinations. It seems Obama simply decided not to make mistakes of his predecessor.
As Sergey Markov, director of the Institute for Political Studies, rightly points out, the White House administration does not mind a new president in Georgia. "US administration would be happy to have a new leader in Georgia", - he says. - Many representatives of the US current administration think there has to be a more mentally fit person instead of the inadequate, president, a pathologic liar". The politologist thinks that this negative attitude of Obama administration is the result of Georgian president's advances on US current president's rivals from the Republican camp. "Democrats are disillusioned with Saakashvili, he has openly bad relations with the current US administration", - Markov stated.