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Baku colonels intimidating Tbilisi2011-03-11 12:24
The little-known Azerbaijani Military and Analytic Research Center (MARC) decided to take part in foretelling the events in the Caucasus. The specialists issued a researched dedicated to the assessment of the situation in Georgia. Its contents greatly differ from other similar works. For instance, Georgian regime is called "democracy", though it is not customary among serious experts to make such single-value estimates. But Azerbaijani political experts have got their own approach.
A research of the situation in Georgia became a debut of the Baku Analytical Center in the Georgian direction. So far, this establishment has been specializing on Azerbaijani military issues and never interfered in the neighbours' affairs. We do not know why several reserve colonels decided to switch to Georgia now. Their research seems to be copied from the five-year-old reports prepared by western investigative institutions "in the early Saakashvili's epoch".
That is why Tbilisi regime is characterized as "democracy" and Russia as a threat biting off the Georgian territories piece by piece and trying to confine Georgia to severe economic blockade. The press has long been missing such lopsided interpretation of the Caucasian situation, especially under the guise of professional analytics.
As we can see from the preamble, Azerbaijani military retirees discovered an absolutely new country. Their first conclusions on the role of Georgia in the modern world are plain and simple. "The country set up clear tasks: democratic development, reforms in the army, territorial integrity establishment and membership in NATO. However, a number of external and internal factors impede their completion", - the experts say.
Then goes the enumeration of these internal and external factors: "the presence of separatist movements and foreign military bases in the territory of Georgia, which contradicts the international law; forming a movement against the democratic regime supported by a number of states; attempts to create ethnic strain in some regions of Georgia; attempts to restrict Georgia's rights on the Black Sea".
In fact, MARC's research reflects the simple principles of Azerbaijan's policy in respect of Georgia. Or, vice versa, specifies the plain fundamentals of the Azerbaijan-Georgia relationship for Baku. Georgia and Azerbaijan are not only strategic partners; they are companions in misfortune: both countries are facing territorial problems, which makes them close to each other. This being the case, one should not expect Baku experts to be objective.
Still, the research prepared by a team of specialists under the guidance of Colonel Ildyrym Mamedov has got its own uniqueness: it has got a special section titled "Armenia as the main source of danger for Georgia".
In the opinion of the authors, Georgia should not make friends with Armenia that creates almost a half of its "domestic and foreign problems", including a threat to national security. Azerbaijani experts assert that Yerevan primarily acts as a strategic ally of Russia that has occupied Georgian lands and plays the role of its outpost in the region. "That is why it is quite possible that Yerevan will take the steps against Georgia's military and political interests on Kremlin's recommendation", - the experts say. They are also sure that it is Yerevan that incites the "separatist movement" in Javakh.