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Ivanishvili pulls Georgian policy from the mire2011-10-24 12:38
It seems, oligarch Bidzina Ivanishvili must not do politics in the future. It was enough to simply declare themselves, to raise a wave in the mire of Georgian politics. Noone has said that Ivanishvili's political rating goes beyond the statistical error, but the whole Georgia is preparing for an interesting political season. President Mikhail Saakashvili, in the best traditions of his Belarus counterpart Alexander Lukashenko, has mobilized the entire power machine to fight the rival.
We won't dwell on the past, we'll tell about the future. They have already taken Ivanishvili's citizenship, his bank has already got problems and its collectors car was attacked by police which had also taken away a couple of million dollars and one million euros. Oligarch is going to be deported, and it can not be excluded that into the jail. There has even appeared an anecdotal story about collector car carrying the bank's money and robbed by the police. When oligarch learnt that police had arrested collector car and money, he asked how much money they had taken away. After he learnt it, he said: "It's okay, I have another 5 billion 995 million dollars".
Why all the authoritarian leaders of the former Soviet Union are behaving similar when they see a conventional enemy on their way? No matter how bright were the words of Ivanishvili towards Georgian regime, at that time he was not a politician yet. He has no rating, his voice even now was heard by only few people. Thanks to recent interviews, people just came to know that such people actually exist. If it were not for stupid mistakes, the power has made when began to put pressure on the businessman, then they would have gossiped about passionate tycoon's interviews a couple of weeks and forgotten. Hardly Ivanishvili is as good in politics, as in business. And he is also unlikely to have had his own strategy of promotion. And so today, he would have to say thank you to the authorities of Georgia for informational support. The more actions of intimidation, the higher the rating of Bidzina.
Yet, Ivanishvili has already done a useful thing. He gave the people of the country a chance to feel that Georgia has a real and lively politics. Even those who did not oppose the regime, said that recently political life of the country turned into a swampy marsh. The opposition is totally discredited, nobody treats it seriously. Against this background, the ruling National Movement felt very nice, even, in anticipation of "the oriental" elections, when at the parliamentary elections next year they would receive up to 80 percent of the seats. And here - a bummer.
But there are dangers. The Georgian regime, as we well know, is not democratic, and the appearance of opponents will undoubtedly cause his outrage. In fact, this is what we observe. To restrict competition, the regime will start to really tighten the screws. The actions to defeat "Russian spies" won't be one-time, as now, they will become constant. Opposition members - all, even not very popular - will get into jail, and then the image of a "beacon of democracy" will collapse completely.
Today they can not turn the events back. Bidzina Ivanishvili became interesting for the Georgian society. But still only ten days ago the authorities of Georgia had a chance to get him out of sight - if they would have not noticed his interviews. The oligarch has been completely non-public person over the years - he did not give interviews, did not abuse social events, was not engaged in self-promotion. Ivanishvili was a certain kind of a legend because of it, noone had seen him.