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Mikhail Saakashvili: leave not stay2012-02-06 19:23
USA worry lest Georgian President Mikhail Saakashvili should claim primiership as soon as he resigns presidential office. This was stated in the special services' annual report submitted to the U.S. Senate. The report says that if Saakashvili remains leader of the country it may entail risks of regional scale. The United States are evidently ready to get rid of the Georgian president.
U.S special services have submitted an annual report on the country's foreign policy priorities to the Senate. For several years running, the reporters have stressed the current Georgian president's possible intention to stay in power for an indefinite period as head of the Cabinet of the next Georgian government. As is known, a new constitution will come into force in Georgia in 2013 to alter the republic's political structure and the actual power will be concentrated in the hands of the head of government.
This time, "the threat of Saakashvili" is openly highlighted in the text of the report. His further tenure makes the authors of the document worry lest it should invite danger of regional scale. And they are right.
Of course, all that goes against the optimistic statements of the Georgian president who is coming back home from the USA these days. He had a warm meeting with Barack Obama in Washington and stressed its uniqueness, as always. But everybody knows that Saakashvili's words should not be taken seriously. This time, the special services' report again gives a more vivid picture of the real situation.
It is no secret for the experts that Washington has long since ceased sympathizing with the Georgian president "in connection with the loss of trust". If he does not leave on his own, it will be time for resolute actions. Presidential elections are coming soon and Saakashvili will evidently keep the intrigue with his resignation going - it may help him retain power. It is absolutely clear that he will make his best to remain one of the most influential persons in Georgia after 2013. Lest us try to foresee the possible scenario.
Firstly, such leaders as Mikhail Saakashvili generally do not leave quietly. He might play democracy but he must have power in his hands. Psychologically, he probably feels that he has got a lot of initiatives to finish. It is true that some important, to his mind, reforms have not been completed; the country is in deep debt; the new town of Lazika has not been built. Figures of Saakashvili's scale never accept the rules of the game typical for the democratic systems, for they never have these five-seven or ten years needed to complete what they have started, especially with the "revanchists", "Kremlin agents" and the opposition snapping at their heels, which is obvious in Saakashvili's case, and with the opposition being ready, as he thinks, to turn the country backwards, i.e. towards Russia. In such a situation, one should not resign but pass to the offensive in order to maintain power and try to destroy the "nest of vipers". That's about the Georgian leader's psychological state.
Another important thing is the inevitable and very dangerous perturbation of elites in case he resigns. At present, the mechanism works neatly: there is Misha, there is Vano Merabishvili and another three or five influential people, such as Giga Bokeria. The ruling establishment is small, setting the rhythm of the country's economic life and having regional bureaucracy and business class dependent on it. In such cases, we usually say about the leader: "They won't have him resign".