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Armenia and Azerbaijan in the European leash?2012-09-26 15:11
Neither Yerevan nor Baku can wait for a definitive nod from the European institutions, but can always count on the coolness and calm interaction.
Recently, there have happened important developments, which quite clearly show the nuances of the European policy of balance in relation to the South Caucasus countries - Armenia and Azerbaijan in particular. This, of course, is a controversial extradition of the Azerbaijani officer Ramil Safarov (who has severely murdered Armenian officer Gurgen Margaryan during NATO seminar in Hungary) from Budapest to Baku, as well as the possibility of the dissolution of the PACE Subcommittee on Karabakh, reopened thanks to the efforts of ex-PACE President of Turkish origin Mevlut Cavusoglu.
Extradition of Safarov from Budapest to Baku, it is clear, could not be a surprise to the Council of Europe and the EU (other question - do these organizations approve it or not), and caused a deterioration of the situation in the Nagorno-Karabakh settlement, thus further delaying the contact between the parties. The trade between Budapest and Azerbaijan was a slap in the face of Armenia. At least this step was perceived in Armenia this way, even at the highest level.
Immediately after that, during an emergency meeting with the heads of the UN member states accredited in Armenia, the Armenian President Serzh Sargsyan said: "This has happened because the government of Hungary, which is a member of the European Union and NATO, had made a deal with the government of Azerbaijan. By their joint actions Hungarian and Azerbaijani authorities opened the door for the recurrence of such crimes. By this decision, they have sent a signal to the killers, who now know that murder motivated by ethnic and religious hatred can go unpunished".
In the statement by Sargsyan we clearly see resentment towards Europe and NATO. As a reciprocal gesture Yerevan has suspended all diplomatic and public relations with Hungary, which indicates the reactionary character of foreign policy. For many years, foreign policy of Yerevan has reactionary character, that is the responding to the ongoing processes around it. Of course, on the one hand, formula of the foreign policy is stimulus-response. Patriarch of American foreign policy, Henry Kissinger compares it with the movement of billiard balls: it allows the state to wait and make fewer mistakes.
On the other hand, such a strategy, in the end, is depriving the entire structure of country's foreign relations of its flexibility, and fraught of the fact that it may in some moment to drop the country behind the processes, due to their rapid nature at the current level of globalization. This has particularly happened in the case of extradition of Safarov.