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Burjanadze may become opposition leader?2013-02-13 15:42
After the parliamentary election in Georgia, won by the coalition of Bidzina Ivanishvili, former opposition leader Nino Burjanadze took a break, the purpose of which was the assessment of the political activities of the "Georgian Dream". The declared one hundred days of political "vacation" has expired, but Burjanadze shows no activity. One gets the feeling that the earlier one of the most powerful Georgian politicians has surrendered under the pressure of the popularity of the "Georgian Dream" and decided to go into the shadows. But is it true? And what are the next Burjanadze's steps in the political arena?
Will Nino Burjanadze leave big politics? Can the former opposition leader and one of the most influential Georgian politicians compete with the national hero Bidzina Ivanishvili? Has Burjanadze lost her credibility in the eyes of the public and will she run for the post of the head of the country? The closer the presidential election, the more urgent these issues are. GTimes correspondent asked the Georgian and Russian experts about this.
Political scientist, expert on the Caucasus Mikhail Alexandrov believes that the break in political activities, which Burjanadze took after the parliamentary election, is rather related to the fear of Mikheil Saakashvili than to a desire to draw conclusions about the activities of the "Georgian Dream".
"She is afraid of Saakashvili and is waiting until he is completely out of play. You know that Zhvania was killed, other political opponents of Saakashvili have fled abroad ... Burjanadze has managed to leave the game on time and fade. When Saakashvili leaves his post, she would say all she thinks about this political person".
Burjanadze has a good chance to seize the leadership in Saakashvili's "National Movement", says Alexandrov. This can be a significant breakthrough in her political career, and greatly improve her reputation. "Saakashvili has shown that he was bad, that he had led the country in wrong course. And she is the true bearer of the values of the "National Movement" - such can be her position. Still, she origins from this party. As a result, this can help her get back as a leader of the opposition".
We should not expect that Burjanadze will participate in the upcoming presidential election, says Mikhail Alexandrov. "I do not think that Burjanadze has enough time to prepare for the elections - she has no sufficient support. Rather, she will miss this election. But can take part in the next election, having become the leader of the opposition".
According to the expert, Nino Burjanadze has a real chance to regain a key role in the Georgian politics. "She now has the opportunity to show that she is the carrier of the true values of the "National Movement", that she is the associate of Zhvania, and that they had offered an alternative to Saakashvili's course. This will help gain the popularity, including if the reforms proposed by Ivanishvili do not give effect and people are disappointed".
Georgian political analyst Ramaz Sakvarelidze believes that Burjanadze's return to politics in not far off. "Burjanadze is alive and well, her office is working actively, as far as I know. She, like many other politicians, has decided to postpone the criticisms of the ruling party during the so-called 100 days to see a clear picture. Now these 100 days have passed, and I think she will return into a political life more actively", he said in an interview to GTimes.