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Political explosion postponed in the Caucasus2009-07-06 18:45
Today, the European Union Committee for Investigating the Reasons of the August Conflict is going to make a decision as to how long it will keep the investigation in the state of intrigue. Head of Committee Hidy Talyavini asked to postpone the announcement of results of its work for two months on account of some recently discovered circumstances.
According to Novaya Gazeta (The New Newspaper), European Union is not going to allocate any extra money for the prolongation of the investigation. The budget of 1,6 million euro remains unchanged; and the Committee was to submit its resolution by July, 31.
The reasons that made Talyavini prolong the term of her work may be attributed to politics. In public, she grounded her request to postpone the final report publication until September by the fact that some new circumstances of the August conflict have become known to her recently. It will take two months to investigate these circumstances should the foreign affairs ministers approve of the committee's decision today.
Hidy Talyavini pointed out that the results of the investigation might be "dangerously explosive in political terms". Besides, irrespective of the committee's decision, Mikhail Saakashvili, whose resignation has been demanded by the opposition for almost four months, will instantly lose his post in case of being determined guilty by the Europeans. If the blame is laid entirely upon Russia, it will mean the end of further negotiations of European Union with Moscow as to South Ossetia and Abkhazia. Besides, the approval of the Georgian army's firing at the Russian peace-makers might entail Russia's refusal to take further part in the international peace-making missions.
Although the chairman of the European Committee refused to specify the newly-discovered circumstances, the Georgian and Russian media have already suggested their versions of the answer to this question.
Referring to a well-informed source, the Medianews Georgian agency reported that the reason of such delay lies in Russia pressing upon Talyavini. It is supposed that on July, 1 Deputy Minister of Foreign Affairs of Russia Grigori Karasin warned the head of the committee against Russia being aware of the report contents and its unacceptability for Moscow. According to the source, the diplomat threatened that Talyavini's conclusions would bring tension to the relationship between RF and EU and that Moscow might have the unwanted European Union representative suspended from the diplomatic activities. According to Medianews, Talyavini answered Karasin in a harsh manner; still, she agreed to postpone the publication.