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Saakashvili dreams of stumbling Nabucco2010-11-12 14:58
Due to the "reset" between Moscow and Washington, the US policy in South Caucasus has weakened. According to expert Ariel Cohen, departure from good old American traditions of planting democratic principles and building energy corridors is fraught with complete failure of US diplomatic art. That is why Cohen suggests that Georgia focus on AGRI project to provide economic justification of diversified energy supplies and prevent an expected reaction from Kremlin.
AGRI, a project of liquefied gas supplies from Azerbaijan to Romania via Georgia, is the last attempt to prove Sakartvelo's economic soundness. Apparently, the electorate has no more faith in Mikheil Saakashvili's words that liberal reforms of the republic made it go up to the skies. From now on people will be regularly fed with gas stories.
Before going to the energy summit in Baku this spring the Georgian leader reported joyfully that Georgia would soon become an energy paradise. But even Baku declaration signed after the meeting between Azerbaijani leader Ilkham Aliev and Romanian leader Trajan Besesku was not enough to push AGRI ahead to physical implementation. The sides went back home to continue solving domestic problems.
It seems Ariel Cohen, an expert for political and socio-economic issues of the post-Soviet space, wants to blow away the dust from the forgotten project and bring the States back to exploiting Georgia. "Today, the AGRI can become one of the most promising routes for gas supply from the Caspian region to Europe. Obviously, this project will be implemented faster than the Nabucco gas pipeline project, which is a priority for Europe", - he said in an interview with Caucasus Times.
Mikheil Saakashvili must be beaming with joy hearing that AGRI could stumble European alternative to the South Stream. The long chain can't leave Georgian leader indifferent when there is even a mythic chance to beat Russia down to size. Words of American experts only play into his envious hands.
In reality, AGRI - even if implemented - won't be able to compete with its phantom threat - Nabucco let alone South Stream. Despite the fact that importers and exporters of energy supplies to the EU are interested to diversify supplies, due to political instability both in Georgia and Romania the required number of participants in the project won't be attracted.
Gas volumes ranging from 2 to 7 billion cubic meters is the amount Azerbaijan hardly manages to meet Georgia's internal needs with.