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Out of the mouth of Areshidze…2011-06-17 16:10
Mamuka Areshidze is, without doubt, the most eminent Georgian conspiracy theorist. Being an «expert in the Caucasus», according his professional biography, Areshidze makes sensational but improbable forecasts quite often. Maybe, in this way he reminds mass media about himself. But one can hardly disagree with his last statement actively cited by Georgian journalists. He said: «I would give independence to Abkhazia immediately». Of course, it is a pity that Areshidze is not the Georgian president. This is a really sensational declaration on the public level for Sakartvelo.
really sensational declaration on the public level for Sakartvelo.
However, there is nothing to be happy about. In the interview in which Areshidze spoke on the necessity to recognize Abkhazia he said lots of other things that are absolutely inadequate. As a large part of the Georgian expert society, he was seized with a thirst for a mission aimed at «saving Abkhazians» from a demographic catastrophe that threatens them due to the proximity and influence of Russia.
We will consider the issues of demography later, and so far let us dream a bit about Georgia recognizing the Abkhazian independence. Of course, this is pure theory. In practice no Georgian politician will decide to follow the way of recognizing Abkhazia's independence, however adequate he/she could be. The more so as there are very few adequate politicians there.
However, Georgia's acknowledgment of Abkhazia's independence is the only possible resolution for the deadlock in which the relationships between the two countries have ended. Official Tbilisi has several approaches to the conflict resolution but none of them is realistic. The first approach was formulated by the current authorities and is based on the presumed absence of any conflict between Georgia and Abkhazia and on the presence of a conflict with Russia instead. Abkhazia is considered a territory «occupied» by Russia. Therefore, no dialogue with the Abkhazian party makes sense, and the resolution is possible only after the weakening of Russia and its withdrawal from the Caucasian arena. This concept has nothing to do with the reality, this is just some propaganda addressed to the international public opinion. However, this attitude to the conflict is quite widespread. Many clever people are sitting in Tbilisi and, as they call it, «strategically await» Russia's weakening.