Why did the Georgian leader go to Estonia?22.01.2010 | 17:09
President of Georgia Mikhail Saakashvili has completed his visit to Estonia. In Tallinn, the Georgian leader had enough time to talk to the officials, accuse Russia of Fascism, go skating and give a lecture. According to the disseminated information, Saakashvili went to Estonia in order to discuss the issues of bilateral cooperation. Has Mikhail Nikolaevitch spent two days with his Baltic friends only for that?
GeorgiaTimes correspondent asked the Russian and Georgian political analysts to give their opinion on the matter.
What was the purpose of Saakashvili's visit to Estonia?
Sergey Mikheev, Deputy General Director of Political Technologies Center Foundation
Saakashvili is looking for a way out into the external world; for he is eager to prove that he does not occupy the position of an outcast. It is quite possible that he needs connections related to the defense issues. It is not improbable that the president of Georgia wants to insure himself in case Ukraine's position is changed with the new president. Anyway, Saakashvili is trying to prolong his political carrier.
Konstantin Sivkov, First Vice President of the Academy of Geopolitical problems
Estonia, Latvia, Lithuania, Ukraine and Georgia are the states, whose elites take a strong anti-Russian position and closely stick to American interests. Moreover, Mikhail Saakashvili has got certain demands to Russia and has set the task of restoring the so-called "territorial integrity" of Georgia, that is, capturing Abkhazia and South Ossetia by military way. In this aspect, Estonia is on the list of the countries, whose elites may support him in this issue. Saakashvili wants to win the support in his new military adventures, for he may try to undertake such steps in respect of Abkhazia and South Ossetia, from the near-border conflicts to the special operations carried out by diversion groups.
Archil Gegeshidze, member of the Georgian fund of strategic and international investigations
One should think that the agenda was formed on the basis of developing bilateral relationship. I believe the parties have discussed political and economical issues. For instance, the opportunities of making investments into the Georgian economy. Saakashvili's visit to Estonia may also be connected with the discussion of the issue of integrating Georgia into NATO.
How do you estimate Saakashvili's statements made in the course of the visit? For instance, his comparison of Russia to the Nazi Germany?
One cannot seriously treat the statements made by the Georgia president, for the inadequacy of his behavior is obvious. All of his actions and words should be estimated considering this fact.
There is nothing new in it. Europe has currently taken a number of steps aimed at equaling Russia and Germany in their guilt of breaking the Second World War. These actions are aimed at creating a psychological base to form a hostile image of Russia in the eyes of Europe. Saakashvili is acting according to the general scenario, continuing the line started by PACE.
Russia is really nurturing aggressive plans and one can agree with that. However, the scale is absolutely different. The Nazi Germany aimed at enslaving the whole world, while Russia confines itself to the post-Soviet territory.
Georgiy Khutsishvili, a Georgian political analyst
Considering the state of relationship between Russia and Georgia, these countries should better think of a constructive dialogue and the settlement of connections. We have got many problems in respect of the August war; nevertheless, it is necessary to make efforts to normalize the relations. The greater part of the Georgian community believes that one cannot break relationship with a country because of the leaders' confrontation. One should start a dialogue to overcome the consequences of August 2008.
What are the prospects of cooperation between Georgia and Estonia?
They are purely virtual. Georgia and Estonia have got no common borders; both countries are weak in terms of economy and have got no potential. The only common point is their attitude to Russia. Perhaps, Tallinn may act as a transit partner in the course of the weapon delivery but I believe that Saakashvili's visit to Estonia is a merely political step.
These may be purely political connections. Estonia is nothing very much in the military aspect and is unable to provide any assistance to Georgia. The only way Tallinn can help Tbilisi is to send its volunteers in case of a military conflict.