USA condemn Georgia to loneliness15.12.2010 | 20:12
Georgia is again between a rock and a hard place. WikiLeaks scandalous publications that have greatly undermined the authority of the United States of America, reveal some unpleasant facts concerning the Caucasian republic. Probably, Tbilisi will have to give up friendship with Teheran and Yerevan in order to please the US overlord. As it turns out, Armenia was selling Bulgarian missiles to Iran driving the USA to fury. Now America plans to force Georgia that preserves some kind of friendship with its neighbors to make a definite choice.
Relations inside the South Caucasian triangle are glimmering like coals that get inflamed from time to time. Armenia, Azerbaijan and Georgia are located near Iran that frequently faces severe sanctions imposed by the USA. Besides, Baku, already tired of the ongoing Nagorny Karabakh regional conflict, complains to Washington pleading for help in the unstable situation.
US diplomats seem to help only in the form of letters, using all kinds of harsh words about Teheran's foreign policy, nuclear program and Yerevan that allegedly sells weapons to the number one external enemy of the US democracy. But how convincing is this opinion made public thanks to WikiLeaks site?
"There are no idiots in Washington demanding that Georgia freeze relations with its neighbors, - it's just impossible. Saakashvili, as far as it is evident from the contacts made after isolation, did not hint that Washington was concerned over development of regional cooperation between Teheran and Tbilisi. All the more so there are no regional conflicts that can rise to a global level. The point is that Washington is simply trying to isolate Iran, and everyone knows the way they do it. Basically, this is a high-level isolation connected with Iran's relations with leading world countries. And there is no local isolation - either because the States fail to or simply because they don't want to. It became obvious at the time of the first confrontation between Iran and USA in 2004-2005", - Alexander Karavayev, deputy director general of the information and analytical center at Moscow State University states.
Our second interlocutor, head of international Institute of Conflicts and Negotiations, professor Gogi Khutsishvili, has a different opinion that Georgia is playing a risky game making advances on Iran in the face of its strategic partner. Relations between Teheran and Tbilisi are actively discussed in the international community. The sudden thaw (visa-free regime and an invitation for Mahmud Ahmadinejad to visit Georgia) without a run-in period was taken with apprehension in the West.
"Iran is interested in having Georgia as a transit country for its energy projects. As for the South Caucasian triangle, total energy dependence on Iran is out of question. Presently Georgia is more dependent on Turkey, but Teheran is working hard with Georgia to have an exit out of our region. Georgia pursues a dangerous policy fostering friendship with Iran when consultations with its strategic Western partners are not sufficient. Still the limit of the parties' cooperation is unknown. If Azerbaijan adopts more rigid sanctions against Iran, Georgia will have to make a choice. Who will it choose? Things are placed on a scale", - Khutsishvili told GeorgiaTimes correspondent.
On one hand, Georgia wants to remain on good terms with America. On the other hand, it is trying to establish regional ties while tense relations between Armenia and Azerbaijan plus the Karabakh issue are Sakartvelo's headache. After all, the country wants to be the regional leader as Mikheil Saakashvili often repeats in his psychedelic statements.
Thus, placing itself on the geopolitical scale is fraught with loss of balance and a fall the wrong side, contrary to the plan.